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恒指上周大部份時間雖然於21500點水平受阻,但上周五(13日)尾段跟隨内地A股轉勢走强,直至上周五收市,恒指見約6個月高位,全周升逾700點。而今早(16日),恒指承接外圍升勢進一步向上,截至早上11時,曾升穿21900點水平,逐漸接近去年3月份下跌裂口位置,去年恒指兩次反彈升浪均受限於該裂口上方約22500點水平。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購11798,行使價23800點,實際槓桿9 倍,換股比率6300 兌 1,2023年08月30日到期。
相反,如看淡恒指,或可留意恒指沽11797,行使價20000點,實際槓桿7.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期;如欲以更高槓桿產品部署指數淡倉,亦可留意恒指熊66205,收回價22500點,槓桿比率25.9倍,換股比率2000 兌 1,2025年04月29日到期。
美團(3690)走勢繼續落後大市及其他大型科網股,回到牛熊分界綫之下後,今早(16日)接連跌穿200天綫位置,及50天綫約165元水平,根據CitiFirst網站過去5日樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流資料,過去5天輪場樂觀悲觀資金比例逼近8:2,樂觀資金流合計錄得逾2億。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛69574,收回價155元,槓桿比率11.3 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊69244,收回價190元,槓桿比率5.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
自踏入2023年1月以來,滙豐(0005)股價未曾收跌,累計升逾1成,並留下多個上升裂口,截至今日(16日)中午收市,14天RSI已到達約89水平,技術上已深入超買區,見去年2月以來高位。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購15875,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿17.4 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽11678,行使價41.95元,實際槓桿9 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年06月01日到期。
恒指去年12月於二萬點關口附近徘徊近一個月後,2023年迎來開門紅,連升第四個交易日,接連升穿200天移動平均綫及250天牛熊分界綫水平,截至今早收市,恒指暫升超過1200點,顯著跑贏外圍股市。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購22219,行使價21800點,實際槓桿12.8倍,引伸波幅30.2%,換股比率6500兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
隨著外圍衰退風險憂慮逐步積聚,通關憧憬等好消息亦逐一兌現,市場或仍觀望經濟數據會否如市場預期樂觀,令投資者憂慮港股升勢能否持續。上日輪場資金於指數淡倉逐步累積,根據花旗認股證網站樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流顯示,截至1月4日,過去5日輪證悲觀情緒資金流從1.53億增至5.48億元,累計有12.84億元,而悲觀情緒資金佔比從52%增至上日的92%。再看恒指波幅指數亦從去年10月高位約45水平回落超過2成至30水平之下,投資者短期如看淡指數,想趁高位開淡倉,或可留意恒指沽23225,行使價19200點,實際槓桿20.2倍,引伸波幅33.4%,換股比率8000兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
早前,市場憂慮騰訊(0700)股東在獲得美團(3690)股份派息後或導致美團面臨沽售壓力。騰訊今日(5日)除净,美團股價今早未見明顯沽壓,隨大市造好,最多曾升近8%見195元高位,逼近去年6月-7月的橫行區間,低位反彈超過6成。如認爲沽售美團的利淡消息已反映於當前股價中,而又繼續看好美團股價,或可留意美團購11089,行使價230.19元,實際槓桿4.5倍,引伸波幅59.7%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月06日到期。
但市場上亦有投資者考慮國内通關利好消息基本反映於股價中,憂慮農曆新年假期臨近,春運高峰或有機會令疫情反覆,輪場資金上日(4日)積極部署美團淡倉,根據花旗認股證網站樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流顯示,上日美團輪證悲觀情緒資金佔比76%。投資者如看淡,則可留意美團沽29681,行使價148.78元,實際槓桿5.5倍,引伸波幅69.6%,換股比率100兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
上日(29日)期結日,恒指裂口高開260點後升幅持續擴大,尾段越升越有,以全日最高位18204點收市,全日升逾900點,逼近本月中旬高位約18400點水平,今早(30日)則繼續於18200點附近位置窄幅上落。恒指在10月尾低見14597點後展開强勢反彈,至今升約3600點。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購24368,行使價19600點,實際槓桿9.9倍,引伸波幅27.9%,換股比率8000兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅33.3%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
滙豐(0005)擬作價135億加元(約101億美元)向加拿大皇家銀行出售加拿大業務100%股權,交易預期2023年底完成,預估稅前利潤57億美元,並將積極考慮通過派發一次性股息或股份回購將交易創造的額外富餘資本適量回饋股東。滙豐今早(30日)股價高開2.5%,上試9月21至22日裂口上方約47.5元位置。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購25166,行使價53.58元,實際槓桿16.5倍,引伸波幅28.6%,換股比率10兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽25677,行使價36.5元,實際槓桿8.1倍,引伸波幅36.9%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
美團(3690)上兩日(28及29日)走勢一連兩日現大陽燭,由低位128.5元一舉重返多條短期移動平均綫之上,亦連續兩日獲北水净流入,今早(30日)曾回試50天綫約150元水平,後反復靠穩,暫於155元附近整固。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購23389,行使價195元,實際槓桿7.3倍,引伸波幅63.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽27929,行使價129.9元,實際槓桿3.1倍,引伸波幅66.1%,換股比率100兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
市場對聯儲局加息預期下降,美國三大指數反彈。今日(24日)亞太區股市亦普遍造好,但恒指卻裂口急挫,暫低見15142點,最多跌1068點(約6.6%),為2009見4月底以來的低位。 恒指波幅指數(VHSI)一度飆升至43水平,對上一次此現象出現於今年3月15日,當日恒指中段急跌約6.6%後,次日連彈2日,累計升幅超過16%。投資者如想趁低搏恒指反彈,或可留意恒指購26065,行使價17000點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅31.4%,換股比率7800兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如繼續看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿4.9倍,引伸波幅33.7%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
科網股領跌拖累大市向下,美團(3690)今日(24日)曾跌近一成半,跌穿4月低位約130元位置,股價逼近120元整數關口水平,距離3月份底部103.5元還有約16%的距離,表現相對ATM中其他2隻科網股更為硬净。值得留意的是,截至上周五(21日),美團連續8日錄得北水净流入。投資者如繼續看好美團又想趁低搏反彈,或可留意美團購27016,行使價160.1元,實際槓桿3.9倍,引伸波幅62.1%,換股比率100兌1,2023年05月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽26791,行使價110元,實際槓桿2.7倍,引伸波幅69.6%,換股比率50兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
至於阿里(9988),今早(24日)同樣大陰燭下挫,日内暫低見61.35元,最多暫跌近12%,股價再創港交所上市以來新低,但今日成交顯著回升,半日成交額已超過60億。 投資者如繼續看好阿里,或可候低留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.7倍,引伸波幅57.8%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽25246,行使價50.45元,實際槓桿3倍,引伸波幅69%,換股比率10兌1,2023年3月30日到期。
美聯儲再次釋放鷹派訊號,市場對於加息擔憂復燃 ,恒指上周五(7日)隨外圍有所回吐,未能守穩18000點大關,收報17740點,全日跌272點,而大市交投繼續淡靜,大市成交金額約570億,再創今年新低。港股通南向交易今日(10日)重啓,恒指低開近300點後跌幅擴大,回補上周三(5日)上升裂口,上午低位暫見17242點,最多跌近500點。 投資者如想候低搏恒指反彈,或可留意恒指購24741,行使價19000點,實際槓桿8.4倍,引伸波幅27.1%,換股比率10000兌1,2023年03月30日到期;相反,如看淡恒指,則可留意恒指沽16034,行使價16000點,實際槓桿12.7倍,引伸波幅34.8%,換股比率6000兌1,2022年11月29日到期。
今天(10日)科網股普遍下跌,先前走勢較强的美團(3690)今天裂口低開約2.8%後跌幅迅速擴大並領跌大市,暫最多跌逾7%,反復試探區間底部160元水平。美團自7月中下旬至今一直維持區間上落形態,並多次於約160元獲得承接。根據CitiFirst網站樂觀、悲觀情緒資金流專頁資料,9月30日至10月7日五天(交易日)合計,美團輪證樂觀資金流約1.04億,悲觀資金流約1.19億,比例為47:53。另外有消息報導,因應內地市場增速放緩,美團正初步研究向國際市場擴張,並會將香港作爲首站。 投資者如看好美團,或可趁低留意美團購23389,行使價195元,實際槓桿5.8倍,引伸波幅51.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽24264,行使價157.9元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅57.3%,換股比率100兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
友邦(1299)上周表現强勢,上周三(5日)隨大市大成交反彈近5%,成交金額逾38億,為5月31日以來最高,並重返10天綫之上。上周五(7日)亦逆市企穩,惟今日(10日)隨大市回吐,暫於20天綫約69.6元位置爭持。 投資者如看好友邦,或可留意友邦購24740,行使價74元,實際槓桿4.5倍,引伸波幅32.3%,換股比率50兌1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意友邦沽25375,行使價58.88元,實際槓桿6.6倍,引伸波幅36.3%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
環球經濟氣氛不明朗,美股三大指數上周跌勢湍急。港股方面,截至周一(26日)恒指連續四日收跌,續創下超過10年新低,日内嘗試收復18000點大關亦無功而返,大市交投亦持續淡靜。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購17383,行使價19800點,實際槓桿12.7倍,引伸波幅25.8%,換股比率8500兌1,2022年12月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽15449,行使價17000點,實際槓桿9.7倍,引伸波幅30.1%,換股比率8000兌1,2022年12月29日到期。
英國擬推出50年來最大規模減稅政策,英鎊匯率急跌,拖累英資銀行股表現。滙豐(0005)周一(26日)裂口低開4.6%後,跌幅持續擴大,最多跌8.8%,最低曾見41.7元。而根據CitiFirst網站美國預託證券ADR頁面顯示,上日隔夜(26日)滙豐ADR股價有所靠穩,美國ADR價格折算較本港上日升0.5%,滙豐港股今早(27日)微跌0.1%開市,上日市場滙豐Call輪資金流入444萬,Put輪資金流入則有715萬。投資者如看好滙豐喘定反彈,或可留意滙豐購25166,行使價53.58元,實際槓桿12.6倍,引伸波幅29.7%,換股比率10兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡滙豐進一步向下尋找支持,或可留意滙豐沽21943,行使價39.95元,實際槓桿6.5倍,引伸波幅35.35%,換股比率10兌1,2023年1月30日到期。
美團(3690)自7月起於約160-200元區間上落,自7月上旬高位回落後,曾兩次於200元附近位置後展開回調,並於160元附近水平獲承接反彈,走勢相對騰訊(0700)、阿里(9988)等科網股相對硬净。周一(26日)輕微低開並低見159.4元,再次於8月16日低位約160元附近尋得支持並展開反彈,收市倒升逾4%至167.5元,今早(27日)再輕微高開約0.4%。根據CitiFirst網站過去5日(9月20至26日)輪證資金流資料所示,過去5日美團樂觀資金流達1.1億,悲觀資金流則為6810萬,比例為62:38。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購23223,行使價209元,實際槓桿1.6倍,引伸波幅49.2%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽23865,行使價124元,實際槓桿3.6倍,引伸波幅59.9%,換股比率50兌1,2023年03月30日到期。