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周二(25日)恒指弱勢依舊連跌三天,並且失守了250天綫,日内低位曾逼近19500點,若進一步向下觀望,恒指下一尚未回補的上升裂口位於3月21至22日,裂口區間在約19200至19400點水平。而參考恒指牛熊證街貨分佈,截至上日牛熊街貨比例為61.1:38.9,今日(26日)大市從低位19520點展開反彈,一度重上250天綫約19700點水平之上。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購29262,行使價21000點,實際槓桿19.5 倍,換股比率7000 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期;但參考上日恒指牛熊證街貨分佈,20300至20399點收回區間熊證獲顯著加倉,相關對冲期指合約張數逾600張,投資者如繼續看淡,或可留意恒指沽11290,行使價18600點,實際槓桿14.1 倍,換股比率8800 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期。
科網股表現疲軟,截至上日恒科指及阿里巴巴(9988)皆連續6日收跌,阿里6日累計跌幅接近12%,股價回補3月28至29日的大型上升裂口。今日股價低位暫見81.25元,之後隨大市收窄跌幅,日内高位曾升穿84元。 投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購23990,行使價95元,實際槓桿5.6倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年09月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽26680,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿5倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。
美團(3690)周二未能於50天綫站穩,走勢顯著受壓,日内最多曾跌近6%至129.5元,股價暫仍然位於自2月中至今形成的上落區間約125至145元。今日隨大市反彈,高位暫報135.7元。整體技術走勢上,美團上落波幅有逐漸收窄之勢,股價向三角形中綫約135元位置靠攏,方向待變。上日輪場美團好倉資金流入逾1100萬元,樂觀/悲觀比例為73:27。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛54122,收回價120元,槓桿比率6.6 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年02月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊59988,收回價147元,槓桿比率8.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年01月02日到期。
恒指在4月13日幾近回補了3月尾的上升裂口,總體上整固了近半個月後,大市上日(17日)終於小有突破,隨内地A股上揚,恒指10天綫正式從下方升穿50天綫,並曾升穿20800點位置,見今個月高位。今日(18日)小幅調整。截至上日,恒指牛熊證街貨比例為57.3:42.7,距離上日收市水平20782點上下1000點區間的牛熊證街貨比例則為35.9:64.1。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛60349,收回價20250點,槓桿比率45.7倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊54245,收回價21250點,槓桿比率34.5 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期。
近期走勢疲軟的美團(3690)上日從逼近區間低位水平展開反彈,全日急升近半成,上試10天綫(現約於135元水平),今日仍於10天綫位置爭持,上日市場美團Call輪有逾1100萬元資金追入,截至上日購沽街貨比例為9:1。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購15852,行使價180元,實際槓桿5.1 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽28840,行使價122.78元,實際槓桿5.1 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
百度(9888)股價從三月尾高位瀉逾一成半,上日進一步逼近下方250天綫後,日内從低位127.2元展開反彈。今日繼續嘗試於130元(或100天綫)站穩。上日百度輪證樂/悲觀資金比例為92:8。 投資者如看好百度,或可留意百度牛59966,收回價115.5元,槓桿比率6.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年04月02日到期;如看淡,或可留意百度熊59968,收回價154.2元,槓桿比率4.8倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年01月02日到期。
周三晚,瑞信債券的一年期信貸違約掉期(CDS)飈升至過千點子,顯示投資者對其前景相當憂慮。瑞信ADR美股曾跌超過3成,但其後獲瑞士央行支持後跌幅收窄至不足13.9%。受事件影響,恒指夜期急插,港股周四(16日)承接外圍低開,重磅金融股拖累指數一度跌逾430點,曾見19109點低位。瑞士央行擬向瑞信提供最多500億瑞郎借款的消息傳出後,市場恐慌情緒略舒緩,指數跌幅一度收窄,但整體仍於19200點附近水平窄幅整固,100天綫得而復失。
儘管外圍及港股大市回落,美團(3690)周四股價表現硬净,中段最多曾跌近2%見124.2元低位後隨即反彈,一度轉升2.2%重新逼近130元水平。回顧2023年以來,美團股價自今年高位195.6元回吐超過35%至上周五(3月10日)見今年低位122.1元,跌浪長達3個月,重返去年10月下旬附近低位,本周似乎暫見喘定。輪場資金上日以樂觀情緒資金較多,佔比接近七成,認購證街貨佔比更高達90%。投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購14245,行使價140.1點,實際槓桿6 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽28840,行使價122.78點,實際槓桿3.9 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
螞蟻集團宣布近日與榮耀終端有限公司達成戰略合作,雙方將在數字化經營、支付創新、安全科技、數字金融、ESG可持續發展五大領域展開全面開放合作。阿里(9988)周二(14日)一度跌穿80元心理關口,但暫時可以喘定,連續5個交易日於此水平窄幅整固。投資者如看好阿里,或可趁低留意阿里購11679,行使價108.1元,實際槓桿8.3 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期;相反,如看淡,或可留意阿里沽26680,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿4.1 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。
上日為期指結算日,恒指走勢反復,日内低位逼近19800點水平,試探250天綫,日内雖曾獲短暫承接輕微反彈,但未能站穩於兩萬點關之上。今早,恒指高開逾百點,再度上試兩萬點水平,整體趨勢暫未脫離上月尾向下延伸的短期下降通道。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛53915,收回價19750點,槓桿比率47.7 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊54247,收回價20500點,槓桿比率40.1 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期。
先前傳出因材料問題,而遭日本取消銷售電動巴士的比亞迪(1211),最新傳出降價消息,雖然其後遭官方否認,指僅為經銷商促銷活動,不過周一股價表現仍落後大市,失守上周整固多日的50天綫水平。今早進一步受壓,曾低見210元。 投資者如看好比迪,或可留意比迪牛69573,收回價194元,槓桿比率8 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意比迪沽26678,行使價167.78元,實際槓桿6.8 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年05月30日到期。
近期股價偏弱的美團(3690)上周14天RSI逼近超賣區,上日股價逆市反彈,今早亦承接日前升勢進一步反彈,但暫仍未突破月初至今的10天綫阻力。消息面方面,美團無人機配送服務通過民航局運行審定。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購27016,行使價160.1元,實際槓桿6.6 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年05月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽28840,行使價122.78元,實際槓桿3.8 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
上周四至本周一恒指連跌三日,20天綫水平失守,上日(周二)略微靠穩,衝高290點至約21500點水平回落,升幅收窄,技術走勢上50天綫剛好升穿250天綫。今早 ,恒指維持於約21300點水平附近好淡爭持。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛69687,收回價20500點,槓桿比率23.4 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年12月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊52151,收回價22000點,槓桿比率25 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年12月30日到期。
美團(3690)今早(2月8日)股價低開近3%後,跌幅擴大,一度急瀉逾9%,失守上月區間低位159元位置。有報導指字節跳動旗下抖音將於3月上線全國外賣服務,不過其後遭抖音方面否認。花旗認爲市場關注美團或面臨抖音競爭,但仍決定開啟90天正面催化觀察。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購28838,行使價188.98元,實際槓桿8.6 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年04月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽28840,行使價122.78元,實際槓桿3.3 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
滙豐上月股價節節上升,在到達約58元水平後升勢有所放緩,上周五回試20天綫水平獲承接。今早回復升勢,再上試58元水平,一度升約2.7%。花旗2月6日發報告指,香港銀行股年初至今上升了14%,主要受到內地更廣泛重新開放所支持。由於估值更為吸引,加上資本回報上升空間及盈利能力改善,滙豐股價表現跑贏本地同業。花旗繼續視滙豐為行業首選,認為集團今年將提供更好的資本回報上行空間,並有強勁盈利增長,將其股份目標價由52.8港元上調至62.9港元。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購12404,行使價65.88元,實際槓桿14 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽12406,行使價50元,實際槓桿6.9 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
恒指上周大部份時間雖然於21500點水平受阻,但上周五(13日)尾段跟隨内地A股轉勢走强,直至上周五收市,恒指見約6個月高位,全周升逾700點。而今早(16日),恒指承接外圍升勢進一步向上,截至早上11時,曾升穿21900點水平,逐漸接近去年3月份下跌裂口位置,去年恒指兩次反彈升浪均受限於該裂口上方約22500點水平。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購11798,行使價23800點,實際槓桿9 倍,換股比率6300 兌 1,2023年08月30日到期。
相反,如看淡恒指,或可留意恒指沽11797,行使價20000點,實際槓桿7.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期;如欲以更高槓桿產品部署指數淡倉,亦可留意恒指熊66205,收回價22500點,槓桿比率25.9倍,換股比率2000 兌 1,2025年04月29日到期。
美團(3690)走勢繼續落後大市及其他大型科網股,回到牛熊分界綫之下後,今早(16日)接連跌穿200天綫位置,及50天綫約165元水平,根據CitiFirst網站過去5日樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流資料,過去5天輪場樂觀悲觀資金比例逼近8:2,樂觀資金流合計錄得逾2億。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛69574,收回價155元,槓桿比率11.3 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊69244,收回價190元,槓桿比率5.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
自踏入2023年1月以來,滙豐(0005)股價未曾收跌,累計升逾1成,並留下多個上升裂口,截至今日(16日)中午收市,14天RSI已到達約89水平,技術上已深入超買區,見去年2月以來高位。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購15875,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿17.4 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽11678,行使價41.95元,實際槓桿9 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年06月01日到期。
恒指去年12月於二萬點關口附近徘徊近一個月後,2023年迎來開門紅,連升第四個交易日,接連升穿200天移動平均綫及250天牛熊分界綫水平,截至今早收市,恒指暫升超過1200點,顯著跑贏外圍股市。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購22219,行使價21800點,實際槓桿12.8倍,引伸波幅30.2%,換股比率6500兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
隨著外圍衰退風險憂慮逐步積聚,通關憧憬等好消息亦逐一兌現,市場或仍觀望經濟數據會否如市場預期樂觀,令投資者憂慮港股升勢能否持續。上日輪場資金於指數淡倉逐步累積,根據花旗認股證網站樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流顯示,截至1月4日,過去5日輪證悲觀情緒資金流從1.53億增至5.48億元,累計有12.84億元,而悲觀情緒資金佔比從52%增至上日的92%。再看恒指波幅指數亦從去年10月高位約45水平回落超過2成至30水平之下,投資者短期如看淡指數,想趁高位開淡倉,或可留意恒指沽23225,行使價19200點,實際槓桿20.2倍,引伸波幅33.4%,換股比率8000兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
早前,市場憂慮騰訊(0700)股東在獲得美團(3690)股份派息後或導致美團面臨沽售壓力。騰訊今日(5日)除净,美團股價今早未見明顯沽壓,隨大市造好,最多曾升近8%見195元高位,逼近去年6月-7月的橫行區間,低位反彈超過6成。如認爲沽售美團的利淡消息已反映於當前股價中,而又繼續看好美團股價,或可留意美團購11089,行使價230.19元,實際槓桿4.5倍,引伸波幅59.7%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月06日到期。
但市場上亦有投資者考慮國内通關利好消息基本反映於股價中,憂慮農曆新年假期臨近,春運高峰或有機會令疫情反覆,輪場資金上日(4日)積極部署美團淡倉,根據花旗認股證網站樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流顯示,上日美團輪證悲觀情緒資金佔比76%。投資者如看淡,則可留意美團沽29681,行使價148.78元,實際槓桿5.5倍,引伸波幅69.6%,換股比率100兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
市場對聯儲局加息預期下降,美國三大指數反彈。今日(24日)亞太區股市亦普遍造好,但恒指卻裂口急挫,暫低見15142點,最多跌1068點(約6.6%),為2009見4月底以來的低位。 恒指波幅指數(VHSI)一度飆升至43水平,對上一次此現象出現於今年3月15日,當日恒指中段急跌約6.6%後,次日連彈2日,累計升幅超過16%。投資者如想趁低搏恒指反彈,或可留意恒指購26065,行使價17000點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅31.4%,換股比率7800兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如繼續看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿4.9倍,引伸波幅33.7%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
科網股領跌拖累大市向下,美團(3690)今日(24日)曾跌近一成半,跌穿4月低位約130元位置,股價逼近120元整數關口水平,距離3月份底部103.5元還有約16%的距離,表現相對ATM中其他2隻科網股更為硬净。值得留意的是,截至上周五(21日),美團連續8日錄得北水净流入。投資者如繼續看好美團又想趁低搏反彈,或可留意美團購27016,行使價160.1元,實際槓桿3.9倍,引伸波幅62.1%,換股比率100兌1,2023年05月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽26791,行使價110元,實際槓桿2.7倍,引伸波幅69.6%,換股比率50兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
至於阿里(9988),今早(24日)同樣大陰燭下挫,日内暫低見61.35元,最多暫跌近12%,股價再創港交所上市以來新低,但今日成交顯著回升,半日成交額已超過60億。 投資者如繼續看好阿里,或可候低留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.7倍,引伸波幅57.8%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽25246,行使價50.45元,實際槓桿3倍,引伸波幅69%,換股比率10兌1,2023年3月30日到期。