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恒指上日(16日)升勢放緩,日内衝高回落,高開逾200點報20183點開市即見日内高位,其後日内反復向下,兩萬點關得而復失,大市成交金額僅有約784億。大市交投淡靜,恒指自上月中下旬起維持在約19500至20300點水平區間上落,暫仍未見明顯方向。截至上日,恒指牛熊街貨比例為55:45,牛熊重貨區域分別位於19400-19499點和20500-20599點。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛58112,收回價19250點,槓桿比率31.1 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊62939,收回價20250點,槓桿比率37.6 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年04月29日到期。
京東(9618)、百度(9888)先前放榜,業績均優於市場預期,騰訊(0700)亦將於今日(17日)公佈業績,上日早段高開升穿20天綫,其後日内走勢靠穩,於約343-345元位置窄幅上落,輪場資金方面,騰訊牛證見大量資金追入,資金流入逾3700萬元,重貨區集中在約315-320元位置。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊牛54809,收回價318元,槓桿比率11.3 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年11月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊熊62380,收回價372.4元,槓桿比率10.8 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年11月01日到期。
上海交易所今天將開會討論促進金融業估值提升,市場關注内地金融板塊相關股份,中國平安前日(15日)回落至20天綫處獲承接顯著反彈,周二則於57-58元位置附近窄幅整固。今早股價平開後偏軟,暫最多曾跌2.3%再次逼近20天綫。 投資者如看好平保,或可留意平保購16947,行使價70.05元,實際槓桿9.7 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年10月03日到期;如看淡,或可留意平保沽12152,行使價47元,實際槓桿22.6 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
恒指近期内三度試探50天綫,第一次在3月31日,第二次在上日(4月11日),兩次皆無功而返。第三次在今早(12日),開市見高位20494點輕觸50天綫後亦隨即回落。技術走勢上,短期10天綫及50天綫的距離正在收窄,兩者間距介乎200-300點,另外美國將於今晚公佈通脹數據,大市方向暫為反復待變。部署後市走勢方面,投資者宜留意控制風險,截至上日,恒指牛熊街貨比例為65.2:34.8。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛59156,收回價19750點,槓桿比率29.1 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊55764,收回價21000點,槓桿比率25.1 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期。
國家互聯網信息辦公室就規管人工智能向社會徵求意見,消息令一衆科網股及AI概念股受壓,騰訊(0700)上月尾逼近400元水平後,股價升勢受壓窄幅橫行,上日逆市向下跌逾2%,今早受大股東減持消息拖累,進一步下試20天綫位置,低位暫見358元。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊牛54125,收回價328元,槓桿比率9.6 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年09月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊熊52944,收回價407.88元,槓桿比率7.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期。
百度(9888)上日承受沽壓頗重,股價跌逾半成,今早暫隨大市偏軟,日内低位暫見132.1元跌2.3%,不過資金流方面,截至上日,過去5日百度輪證樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流比例達74:26,樂觀資金流約2500萬元,資金流入好倉佔多數。 投資者如看好百度,或可留意百度購24941,行使價160.88元,實際槓桿5.3 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年08月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意百度沽13670,行使價118.08元,實際槓桿5.2 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年07月31日到期。
港股11月迎來開門紅,總結上周大市表現,恒指上周一(10月31日)見低位約14600點後,11月開始展開反彈,上周四(11月3日)稍作調整後,上周五(11月4日)重返16000點關及20天綫之上,日内一度升近1200點,一周升約1300點。今早(11月7日)延續升勢進一步向上,日内高位暫時曾觸及16821點。 投資者如繼續看好恒指,或可留意恒指購26330,行使價19500點,實際槓桿8.4倍,引伸波幅30%,換股比率6500兌1,2023年04月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽27260,行使價14000點,實際槓桿6.8倍,引伸波幅35.8%,換股比率5500兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
阿里(9988)上周五(11月4日)顯著反彈,成恒指領漲股首位,日内一度升約21%見日内高位76.2元,雖然其後升幅顯著收窄,但全日仍逾一成。不過今日表現則落後於大市,低開之後一度跌近5.2%,曾見低位66.3元後逐步回升,暫於70元整數關口水平附近爭持。 投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.5倍,引伸波幅58.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽26680,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿1.9倍,引伸波幅62.4%,換股比率50兌1,2023年09月28日到期。
而另一隻科網股騰訊(0700),其股價10月下旬連續多日於約200元水平獲承接,上周走勢轉好,MACD指標亦現黃金交叉,上周五(11月4日)重返20天綫之上,為9月上旬以來首次。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購26676,行使價298.2元,實際槓桿6.2倍,引伸波幅46%,換股比率100兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽27071,行使價180.88元,實際槓桿2.7倍,引伸波幅48.7%,換股比率100兌1,2023年12月28日到期。
恒指至今現8連陰走勢,雖然上周五(14日)小幅反彈198點,終止6連跌,但今早(17日)隨外圍下挫,一度回吐上周五所有升幅,進一步逼近月綫圖2011年10月份低位16170點水平,日内最多曾跌約278點,暫見16300點低位後見反彈,但以今個月5日頂部計起,已跌近1700點或逾9%。 投資者如看好恒指並想趁低搏反彈,或可留意恒指購24743,行使價18500點,實際槓桿8.1倍,引伸波幅29.6%,換股比率9500兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡或想以指數淡倉對冲手上正股持倉的下行風險,或可留意恒指沽26066,行使價16100點,實際槓桿5.1倍,引伸波幅33.5%,換股比率6100兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
騰訊(0700)走勢連日疲弱,今早最低曾見240.8元,除息及企業行動調整後股價下試2018年10月低位。不過另一方面,騰訊截至上周五(14日)已連續39日回購其公司股份,而港股通南向資金亦連續29日净流入騰訊。至於輪場資金方面,根據CitiFirst網站輪證樂觀、悲觀情緒資金流數據,上周(10日至14日)五日合計,騰訊樂觀資金流有1.12億,悲觀資金流有5350萬,樂悲情緒資金比例接近7:3。 投資者如想候低吸納騰訊,或可留意騰訊購25248,行使價310.2元,實際槓桿7.1倍,引伸波幅40.6%,換股比率100兌1,2023年02月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽26571,行使價223.5元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅45%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期。
阿里巴巴(9988)連跌6日後上周五(14日)隨大市反彈0.7%後,今早表現繼續偏軟,日内一度跌逾3%,跌穿今年3月15日低位71元位置,再次刷新歷史新低,最低暫見70.9元,午後則能企穩反彈,跌幅暫時收窄至不足1%,重返72元之上。投資者如對阿里後市看好,或可考慮分注候低吸納阿里購26198,行使價88.93元,實際槓桿5.3倍,引伸波幅54.9%,換股比率50兌1,2023年2月27日到期;如繼續看淡,則可留意阿里沽25246,行使價50.45元,實際槓桿3.5倍,引伸波幅66.1%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。