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港股今早(21日)低開163點,早段跌幅曾收窄,其後走勢再度向下,半日續跌逾300點。科技股拖累大市,科指曾跌逾3%,ATM更暫見逾3至7%的跌幅,美團(3690)或受聯合創辦人減持消息影響,股價節節下挫至暫跌逾7%,暫為拖累恒指及科指點數最多個股。
銀行股今早逆市造好,為少數領漲板塊之一,招商銀行(3968)的表現更為亮眼。招行周二(19日)公布董事會對銀行高層人事變動決定,或受消息影響,招行周二及上日(20日)分別急瀉逾11%及5%後,今早再破52週低位,最低暫見49.5元,但其後轉跌為升,一度反彈逾4%。值得關注的是,從過去5日輪證資金流來看,其樂觀情緒資金流佔比逾八成,資金流金額更急增至2090萬元,或反映投資者傾向沽出Put輪、熊證持倉,或趁低吸納Call輪、牛證部署後市反彈。另外,招行將於明天(22日)公佈第一季業績,投資者如看好其業績,或可留意招行購28293,行使價62.85元,實際槓桿8.3倍,引伸波幅47%,換股比率50兌1,2022年07月28日到期。投資者如看淡,或可留意招行沽19809,行使價48元,實際槓桿7倍,引伸波幅44.6%,換股比率10兌1,2022年06月29日到期。
中海油(0883)日前公開發售的26億股A股於今日在上交所掛牌上市,約280.8億元人民幣的發行募資金額將用於多個國內外油氣新項目,而其A股今早一度升近44%並漲停。中海油今早早段曾一度升逾4%後倒跌,暫失守11元關口,亦曾跌穿20天移動平均線,見5天低位。資金流向方面,截至周二,中海油已連續11日獲北水淨買入。另外,中海油下周四(28日)公布首季業績時,亦會一併宣派押後派發的末期息及特別息。投資者如看好中海油後市走勢,或可留意海油購14958,行使價13.9元,實際槓桿4.8倍,引伸波幅46.9%,換股比率5兌1,2022年12月29日到期。
中移動(0941)近日走勢較為平穩,本周大部分時間維持於55元水平窄幅橫行,今早股價疲軟,一度跌穿20天移動平均線,暫見5天低位。截至上日,中移動已連續10日獲北水淨買入。投資者如想趁低部署,或可留意中移購13443,行使價65元,實際槓桿9.6倍,引伸波幅30.8%,換股比率10兌1,2022年10月28日到期。
地緣局勢稍為緩和,美股周二晚(15日)應聲反彈,恒指今早(16日)承接外圍高開262點,升穿100天移動平均線。科技股造好,恒生科技指數更一度升逾2%。
隨著外圍不確定性因素逐漸減少,資金關注板塊或再現輪動,或有機會重新關注早前跌幅較爲顯著的科技股板塊。而在ATM三隻科技股龍頭當中,估值相對較低的阿里巴巴(9988)或重見資金追捧。而阿里巴巴(9988)今早(16日)亦於一眾科網股中跑出,中段一度升接近4%,升穿50天移動平均線,升勢確實較騰訊及美團更爲凌厲,成爲為貢獻恒指點數最多的個股。日前軟銀減持巴巴疑慮暫時釋除,橋水基金最新申報的美股季度持倉更見到其將資金轉投中資電商股並增持阿里巴巴。阿里將於下周四(2月24日)公佈業績,投資者如想趁業績前部署好倉,或可留意阿里購22437,行使價138.88元,實際槓桿4.7倍,引伸波幅44.9%,換股比率100兌1,2022年09月28日到期。相反,如對其業績或表現看淡,或可留意阿里沽16952,行使價106.88元,實際槓桿3.5倍,引伸波幅61.6%,換股比率50兌1,2022年06月29日到期。
除科網股外,舊經濟股近日備受追捧,一方面或因外圍局勢緊張令避險情緒升溫,資金亦從風險較高的科技股板塊轉為投資防守性較高的傳統經濟股,而另一方面,國内穩增長目標亦令資金重新關注傳統經濟板塊,而中移動(0941)近日亦見較多資金關注。
中移動周二(15日)公布再回購近233萬股,涉資1.27億港元。中移動股價連日回吐後,周三轉跌為升,曾升近2%。轉看資金流向,截至周二收市,北水雖已連續4日淨流出中移動,但淨流出金額逐步減少。而輪場資金部署資金,上日中移動為十大好倉流入股份之一,樂觀情緒資金佔比接近7成。投資者如想趁低部署好倉,或可留意中移購24033,行使價65元,實際槓桿7.9倍,引伸波幅31.5%,換股比率10兌1,2022年09月29日到期。
另外,恒指將於本周五(18日)收市後公布季檢結果,市場憧憬農夫山泉(9633)或有望染藍,今日中段曾一度飆升至5天高位。投資者如看好,或可留意農泉購23249,行使價53.58元,實際槓桿3.3倍,引伸波幅58.2%,換股比率50兌1,2022年10月28日到期。
地緣局勢緊張,美國三大股指隔晚(25日)再度上演V型走勢,科網股則繼續拖累納斯達克指數收低。港股周三(26日)早段造好,恒指高開近100點,之後升幅一度擴大至244點,見過24487點高位,之後則逐步回吐升幅,中段一度倒跌,整體表現疲軟。
科技股表現個別發展,騰訊(0700)股價表現則較爲硬净,全日繼續於470元關口附近整固,而阿里(9988)及美團(3690)則見不同程度下跌。
據報,美團今日宣布,將為平台線下消費全面開放數字人民幣支付通道,用戶在選購生鮮、打車出行或觀看電影時,可以數字人民幣支付並領取專屬的消費補貼。數字人民幣支付場景包括餐飲、外賣、生鮮零售、共享單車、美團打車等200多個線下消費場景。消息暫時未對股價有太大刺激作用。但留意到近日港股通資金在美團部署積極,截至周二(25日)收市,連續16個交易日錄得北水净流入,昨日亦見近13億元資金流入追捧。如對後市看好,或可趁低留意美團購19286,行使價268.88元,實際槓桿5.3倍,引伸波幅56.6%,換股比率100兌1,2022年05月30日到期。相反,投資者如看淡,或可留意美團沽16946,行使價176.78元,實際槓桿3.9倍,引伸波幅58.4%,換股比率100兌1,2022年06月29日到期。
除科網股之外,隨著市場避險情緒升溫,資金開始從成長股等風險資產流出,轉爲關注防守性較高,增長較爲穩定的藍籌股。例如中移動(0941)近日則較多投資者關注。中電信(728)昨日舉行的5G消息商用發佈會正式宣佈5G消息進入商用階段。消息亦刺激同為5G電信板塊的 中移動股價上揚,周三(26日)一度升2.9%至53.8元高位。加上近日其控股公司回購股份的計劃及消息亦支持中移動股價企穩。回顧過去幾日,大市表現反覆,中移動股價連續3個交易日未曾收跌,今日更繼續跑贏大市,投資者如看好,或可留意中移購12576,行使價55.55元,實際槓桿8.2倍,引伸波幅29.2%,換股比率10兌1,2022年06月29日到期。
另外,美國日趨嚴峻的高通脹環境亦令市場憧憬美聯儲局加息,滙豐(0005)股價自去年9月中低位38.8元低位反彈至55元高位,累計升幅高達4成以上。而今日股價表現仍跑贏大市,是其中一隻撐市功臣。投資者如看好,或可留意滙豐購21728,行使價60元,實際槓桿9.6倍,引伸波幅26.5%,換股比率10兌1,2022年07月28日到期。
相反,看淡或可留意滙豐沽22186,行使價45元,實際槓桿7.1倍,引伸波幅31.6%,換股比率10兌1,2022年07月25日到期。
港股今早(5日)高開33點,但隨後受科網股拖累下調頭向下,暫時跌最多327點,低位約22962點。科指跌勢更甚,最多暫時跌4.2%。科網股中跌幅較大的有美團、嗶哩嗶哩。
繼京東(9618)被騰訊(0700)減持後,騰訊再有新動作,減持東南亞科網Sea Limited, 消息或令市場擔心騰訊會繼續減持其投資。騰訊有份投資的股份今早急挫,當中美團(3690)及嗶哩嗶哩(9626)均跌逾9%。美團見3個月低位, 14天相對強弱指數<30,呈超賣水平,暫時最多跌10.8%,報195.8元。投資者如欲部署短綫博反彈,或可留意美團購19286,行使價268.88元,實際槓桿5.4倍,引伸波幅57.7%,換股比率100兌1,2022年05月30日到期。另外,國家網信辦日前作出多項針對科網企業的反壟斷處罰決定。投資者如認爲美團會受此消息繼續承壓,或想用Put輪對手上持倉作對冲部署,或可留意美團沽16946,行使價176.78元,實際槓桿3倍,引伸波幅59.4%,換股比率100兌1,2022年06月29日到期。
嗶哩嗶哩今日再創上市新低,股價逼近300元低位14天相對強弱指數<30,同屬超賣水平。投資者如看好,或可留意嗶哩購18931,行使價480元,實際槓桿3倍,引伸波幅79.5%,換股比率500兌1,2022年09月29日到期。
藍籌股個別發展。當中中移動(0941) A股今日正式於上海證券交易所上市,港股能逆市造好,今早高開5.7%,最多升7.3%見51.5元,創6個月高位。中移動最新宣布,計劃回購不多於10%港股,可回購港股數目最多為20.48億股港股,相當於已發行港股的10%。投資者如看好後市,或可留意中移購17693,行使價53.93元,實際槓桿8.6倍,引伸波幅30.4%,換股比率10兌1,2022年05月30日到期。