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港股通南向交易本周一(1月30日)恢復,恒指連續兩日回調,並回補農曆春節假期後的上升裂口。上日(2月1日)喘定靠穩,重返10天綫約22000點水平位置,整體仍處於由去年10月尾向上延伸的上升軌之上。
隔夜,美聯儲如市場預期加息1/4厘,美股三大指數整體先抑後揚,恒指今早(2月2日)承接外圍升勢高開逾200點。對比近三個月港股與美股表現,截至上日,恒指累計升幅約50%,美股三大指數升幅則在4%-8.5%不等。 投資者如繼續看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛51606,收回價21500點,槓桿比率24.2 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年12月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊69693,收回價23000點,槓桿比率25.3 倍,換股比率20000 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
滙豐(0005)股價上月節節高升,周一高位與去年最後一個交易日收市價相比,累計升逾20%,同時亦留下多個上升裂口,近日升勢有所放緩,上日更見逆市回吐1.6%。根據CitiFirst®網站樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流專頁數據,滙豐於1月26至2月1日悲觀資金流合計逾三千萬,樂觀/悲觀比例接近3:7。滙豐股價今早高開1.1% 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購12404,行使價65.88元,實際槓桿12.4 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽12406,行使價50元,實際槓桿6.5 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
百度(9888)近日走勢顯著增强,公司擬在3月份推出一款類似於ChatGPT的人工智能聊天機械人服務,引發市場關注。輪場資金方面,百度好倉連續三日見投資者資金流入,三日樂觀資金流逾1300萬元。 投資者如看好百度,或可留意百度購24941,行使價160.88元,實際槓桿3 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年08月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意百度沽28412,行使價78元,實際槓桿4.3 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期。
美國10月份通脹低過預期,市場憧憬聯儲局將放慢加息步伐,恒指上周五(11日)隨外圍高開過千點,午後越升越有,重返17300點以上,收報17325點,全日升1244點,大市成交金額約1826億。另外據報内地公佈優化防控措施及内房支持政策,恒指今早(14日)延續升勢繼續向好,全日高開高走,中段升幅一度擴大至685點,一度重返18000點關口之上,之後升勢略爲放緩。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購26330,行使價19500點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅29.3%,換股比率6500兌1,2023年04月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿7.2倍,引伸波幅33.3%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
内地公佈優化新冠肺炎疫情防控措施,並對入境人員將「7+3」調整為「5+3」,市場或憧憬防控措施放寬或對友邦(1299)保險業務增長有正面影響,友邦上周五(11日)隨大市裂口高開逾5%重返70元大關之上,收報73.05元,全日升8.8%。今早(14日)股價繼續走高,一度升逾5.6%,突破200天綫。回顧自11月以來表現强勢,相比10月底低位反彈近35%。投資者如看好友邦,或可留意友邦購17847,行使價95元,實際槓桿5倍,引伸波幅33.9%,換股比率50兌1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意友邦沽25375,行使價58.88元,實際槓桿7.6倍,引伸波幅40.4%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
阿里(9988)雙11購物節正式拉開帷幕,上周五(11日)股價一改頹勢高開高走,日内升幅一度高達13.4%,升穿20天移動平均綫及70元大關,收報70.8元,全日升12.4%。今早(14日)雖能隨著大市反彈,中段一度考驗70元整數關口支持位。投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅58.5%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽27928,行使價60.13元,實際槓桿3.1倍,引伸波幅64.7%,換股比率50兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
美聯儲再次釋放鷹派訊號,市場對於加息擔憂復燃 ,恒指上周五(7日)隨外圍有所回吐,未能守穩18000點大關,收報17740點,全日跌272點,而大市交投繼續淡靜,大市成交金額約570億,再創今年新低。港股通南向交易今日(10日)重啓,恒指低開近300點後跌幅擴大,回補上周三(5日)上升裂口,上午低位暫見17242點,最多跌近500點。 投資者如想候低搏恒指反彈,或可留意恒指購24741,行使價19000點,實際槓桿8.4倍,引伸波幅27.1%,換股比率10000兌1,2023年03月30日到期;相反,如看淡恒指,則可留意恒指沽16034,行使價16000點,實際槓桿12.7倍,引伸波幅34.8%,換股比率6000兌1,2022年11月29日到期。
今天(10日)科網股普遍下跌,先前走勢較强的美團(3690)今天裂口低開約2.8%後跌幅迅速擴大並領跌大市,暫最多跌逾7%,反復試探區間底部160元水平。美團自7月中下旬至今一直維持區間上落形態,並多次於約160元獲得承接。根據CitiFirst網站樂觀、悲觀情緒資金流專頁資料,9月30日至10月7日五天(交易日)合計,美團輪證樂觀資金流約1.04億,悲觀資金流約1.19億,比例為47:53。另外有消息報導,因應內地市場增速放緩,美團正初步研究向國際市場擴張,並會將香港作爲首站。 投資者如看好美團,或可趁低留意美團購23389,行使價195元,實際槓桿5.8倍,引伸波幅51.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽24264,行使價157.9元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅57.3%,換股比率100兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
友邦(1299)上周表現强勢,上周三(5日)隨大市大成交反彈近5%,成交金額逾38億,為5月31日以來最高,並重返10天綫之上。上周五(7日)亦逆市企穩,惟今日(10日)隨大市回吐,暫於20天綫約69.6元位置爭持。 投資者如看好友邦,或可留意友邦購24740,行使價74元,實際槓桿4.5倍,引伸波幅32.3%,換股比率50兌1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意友邦沽25375,行使價58.88元,實際槓桿6.6倍,引伸波幅36.3%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
中秋長假後恒指周二(13日)以窄幅上落爲主,全日上下波幅不足200點,日内曾嘗試收復10天綫約19400點水平未果。隔夜美國CPI出爐,年增8.3%高於預期,市場擔憂聯儲局進一步加息,美國三大股指急瀉。周三(14日)早段,恒指隨外圍裂口低開近400點失19000關,午後進一步逼近上周低位約18800點位置。 投資者如看好恒指,欲趁低搏反彈,或可留意恒指購17383,行使價19800點,實際槓桿12.7倍,引伸波幅25.2%,換股比率8500兌1,2022年12月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽15096,行使價18000點,實際槓桿7.6倍,引伸波幅28.8%,換股比率8000兌1,2022年12月29日到期。
國家新聞出版署發布9月有73款國產網絡遊戲獲批,騰訊(0700)終於出現在名單中。其股價今早(14日)下試300元大關,最低暫見299元,較上月月尾頂部跌約一成。根據CitiFirst網站樂觀、悲觀資金流專頁所示,綜合過去5個交易日(9月6日至13日),騰訊窩輪樂觀資金流合計約8500萬,悲觀資金流約4900萬,比例為63:37。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購22337,行使價360元,實際槓桿8.2倍,引伸波幅36.5%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽17072,行使價280元,實際槓桿5.9倍,引伸波幅39.8%,換股比率100兌1,2022年12月29日到期。
傳統藍籌股方面,友邦(1299)暫錄得2連跌,今早(14日)曾跌近3%至71.3元。雖然友邦周二(13日)曾斥資約1.78億港元回購240萬股,截至周二,今個財政年度回購的總股數更高達1.15億股,可惜回購消息暫未能刺激股價回升。投資者如繼續看好友邦,或可留意友邦購17233,行使價83.8元,實際槓桿10倍,引伸波幅26.2%,換股比率50兌1,2023年02月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意友邦沽23848,行使價67.95元,實際槓桿3.3倍,引伸波幅31.2%,換股比率50兌1,2023年12月28日到期。