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内房憂慮持續發酵,周一(21日)港股跌勢未止,恒指裂口低開後進一步向下,續創今年新低。截至周一,恒指牛熊街貨比例約6:4,牛證重貨區位於目前最貼價的17500至17599點水平,累積相關對冲期指合約張數1125張,熊證街貨則較多集中於18300至18699點水平不等。
今早(22日),恒指開市後一度抽高至17800點水平,其後靠穩。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛65233,收回價17250點,槓桿比率31.4 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊52326,收回價18400點,槓桿比率21.7 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年07月30日到期。
美團(3690)周四(24日)公佈業績,股價上周失130元位置,向下完全回補7月24至25日的上升裂口後,一連兩日在128元附近爭持。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛66514,收回價113元,槓桿比率6.1 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年07月02日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊51829,收回價147.3元,槓桿比率5.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年06月03日到期。
騰訊(700)近期相較大市跌幅仍然較少,不過周一股價輕微跌破近兩月底部約320元水平,收報318元,全日跌2.2%,亦失守250天綫,今早則繼續於該水平附近爭持。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購17609,行使價380.06元,實際槓桿13.5 倍,換股比率約95 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽17800,行使價298.6元,實際槓桿8.5 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年11月22日到期。
上周港股升勢凌厲,本周則有所放緩,大市連續兩日先升後回落,恒指一連兩日上試20300點水平未果,高位造出兩支陰燭,周二(1日)高開低走,回補上周五至本周一(7月28至31日)的上升裂口。今早延續跌勢進一步偏軟回試100天綫,暫時於19600點附近喘定。截至上日,恒指牛熊街貨比例介乎50:50,今早資金則集中流入牛證,收回價介乎19200至19500。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛50092,收回價19200點,槓桿比率34 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年08月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊69436,收回價20400點,槓桿比率24.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年04月29日到期。
美團(3690)上周五突破橫行區間向上,不過本周連續兩日受制於150元或250天綫位置,今早進一步回落,回補上周五至周一的上升裂口,並回試前區間頂部約140元水平。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛50291,收回價124.6元,槓桿比率6.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年07月03日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊53641,收回價155元,槓桿比率7.6 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年02月01日到期。
内險及内地金融板塊本周見回吐,中國平安(2318)周一試探57元水平後回軟,至今連現三支陰燭,今早暫回落至約54元附近,跌1.8%。 投資者如看好平保,或可留意平保牛66360,收回價48.2元,槓桿比率7.9 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意平保熊68351,收回價58.8元,槓桿比率9.7 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月01日到期。
港股本周跟隨外圍造好,隔晚美國通脹放緩速度超過預期,6月CPI按年增3%,增幅創2021年3月新低,好過市場預期,美國三大股指急升,中概股亦普遍造好。今早,恒指高開逾300點後,之後愈升愈有,暫時最多曾升507點見19368點高位,完全回補7月5日-6日留下的下跌裂口約19100點水平,暫時於位於50及250天綫交纏的水平約19300點位置。往上望,恒指6月20日至21日另一個下跌裂口大概位於19500點水平,正好為上日熊證其中一個重貨區位置19500-19599點,累積679張對冲期指張數的熊證。
投資者如繼續看好,則可留意恒指牛68647,收回價18500點,槓桿比率18.8 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
但今日留意到即市資金開淡倉,19500點位置加倉頗爲顯著。投資者如想於19500點附近跟隨輪場資金搏指數回調轉勢,或想用輪證產品對冲手上正股持倉,或可考慮恒指沽15579,行使價17600點,實際槓桿14.5 倍,換股比率5500 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。
儘管本周大市造好,但整體成交金額仍低迷,截至上日(12日)收市,自6月19日以來大市成交金額未曾上過1000億元。港交所(0388)今日跟隨大市向好,重返300元水平之上,試探50天綫304元附近位置,暫時仍受制於該位置。輪場資金近日多為部署淡倉,熊證上日流入近95萬元。而CitiFirst®認股證牛熊證樂悲觀情緒資金比例可見,悲觀情緒資金比例自7月7日的11%增加至上日的64%,上日樂觀:悲觀情緒資金比例為36%:64%。如投資者欲跟隨資金流做看淡港交所部署,則可留意港交熊66592,收回價325元,槓桿比率12.1 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年12月01日到期;相反如看好,則可留意港交牛64265,收回價268.88元,槓桿比率7.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年01月02日到期。
先有中國發改委調研包括美團、阿里、騰訊在内的平台企業並擬支持平台企業在引領發展、創造就業和國際競爭中發揮更加積極的作用,再有國務院總理李強主持召開平台企業座談會表示,平台經濟大有可為,希望廣大平台企業堅定信心向前看,持續推動創新突破,圍繞底層技術等關鍵核心技術,加大研發投入,賦能實體經濟發展。
消息提振中概股近日急升,ATM三隻股份之中,美團(3690)本周表現搶眼,暫時連升第4日,而近兩日升幅均冠絕ATM三隻大型科網股,頗有追落後之勢.
先前走勢較爲落後的美團(3690)今日(13日)繼續領漲大市,暫時為指數貢獻最多升幅,暫時最多曾升6.4%,最高暫時見135.4元,一舉升穿100天移動平均綫,逼近6月中高位近140元水平。如繼續看好,或可留意美團購15917,行使價160.1元,實際槓桿6.8 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期;相反想趁著高位開淡倉,則可留意美團沽14247,行使價112.8元,實際槓桿10.2 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年09月04日到期。
恒指周一(29日)跌勢未止,早段小幅反彈升逾百點後調頭向下,日内低位逼近上周牛證重貨區約18500點水平,日内低位報18517點,收報18551點,全日跌195點,與年初高位22700點相比回落近兩成,連續四日收跌。以周綫圖觀之,恒指下方下一參考水平或為去年3月中旬低位約18235點位置。截至上日,收回價距上日收市價上下1000點的恒指牛熊街貨比例約80:20,牛證重貨區下移至18000-18099點位置。隔夜美股陣亡將士紀念日休市一天,今日(30日)則為期結日,今早恒指繼續下試6個月以來低位,暫時最低見約18372點。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購15522,行使價20000點,實際槓桿13.2 倍,換股比率8000 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽15574,行使價17200點,實際槓桿9.3 倍,換股比率5000 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。
美團上周四(25日)晚公佈首季度業績,營收勝市場預期,不過周一平開後遇沉重沽壓,股價失守120元後,日内繼續反復向下,收報115.8元,全日跌8.1%,逼近去年10月25日低位112.8元。美團上日輪證樂觀資金流接近4500萬元,樂觀/悲觀比例約74:26,今早股價進一步向下,暫跌約2.4%低見113元。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購14139,行使價150.1元,實際槓桿6.5 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽15251,行使價100元,實際槓桿3.3 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
三大科網股上日拖累大市向下,不過多隻中字頭股份走勢靠穩,中移動跌幅少於大市,股價一連兩個交易日回試月中低位63.7元位置,並暫獲支持,收報64元,全日跌0.6%。今早走勢仍然以窄幅上落爲主。 投資者如看好中移,或可留意中移購14736,行使價75元,實際槓桿15.3 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意中移沽17032,行使價55.95元,實際槓桿14 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。
恒指在4月13日幾近回補了3月尾的上升裂口,總體上整固了近半個月後,大市上日(17日)終於小有突破,隨内地A股上揚,恒指10天綫正式從下方升穿50天綫,並曾升穿20800點位置,見今個月高位。今日(18日)小幅調整。截至上日,恒指牛熊證街貨比例為57.3:42.7,距離上日收市水平20782點上下1000點區間的牛熊證街貨比例則為35.9:64.1。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛60349,收回價20250點,槓桿比率45.7倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊54245,收回價21250點,槓桿比率34.5 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期。
近期走勢疲軟的美團(3690)上日從逼近區間低位水平展開反彈,全日急升近半成,上試10天綫(現約於135元水平),今日仍於10天綫位置爭持,上日市場美團Call輪有逾1100萬元資金追入,截至上日購沽街貨比例為9:1。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購15852,行使價180元,實際槓桿5.1 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽28840,行使價122.78元,實際槓桿5.1 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
百度(9888)股價從三月尾高位瀉逾一成半,上日進一步逼近下方250天綫後,日内從低位127.2元展開反彈。今日繼續嘗試於130元(或100天綫)站穩。上日百度輪證樂/悲觀資金比例為92:8。 投資者如看好百度,或可留意百度牛59966,收回價115.5元,槓桿比率6.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年04月02日到期;如看淡,或可留意百度熊59968,收回價154.2元,槓桿比率4.8倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年01月02日到期。
恒指上周大部份時間雖然於21500點水平受阻,但上周五(13日)尾段跟隨内地A股轉勢走强,直至上周五收市,恒指見約6個月高位,全周升逾700點。而今早(16日),恒指承接外圍升勢進一步向上,截至早上11時,曾升穿21900點水平,逐漸接近去年3月份下跌裂口位置,去年恒指兩次反彈升浪均受限於該裂口上方約22500點水平。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購11798,行使價23800點,實際槓桿9 倍,換股比率6300 兌 1,2023年08月30日到期。
相反,如看淡恒指,或可留意恒指沽11797,行使價20000點,實際槓桿7.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年06月29日到期;如欲以更高槓桿產品部署指數淡倉,亦可留意恒指熊66205,收回價22500點,槓桿比率25.9倍,換股比率2000 兌 1,2025年04月29日到期。
美團(3690)走勢繼續落後大市及其他大型科網股,回到牛熊分界綫之下後,今早(16日)接連跌穿200天綫位置,及50天綫約165元水平,根據CitiFirst網站過去5日樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流資料,過去5天輪場樂觀悲觀資金比例逼近8:2,樂觀資金流合計錄得逾2億。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛69574,收回價155元,槓桿比率11.3 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊69244,收回價190元,槓桿比率5.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
自踏入2023年1月以來,滙豐(0005)股價未曾收跌,累計升逾1成,並留下多個上升裂口,截至今日(16日)中午收市,14天RSI已到達約89水平,技術上已深入超買區,見去年2月以來高位。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購15875,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿17.4 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽11678,行使價41.95元,實際槓桿9 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年06月01日到期。