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美國10月份通脹低過預期,市場憧憬聯儲局將放慢加息步伐,恒指上周五(11日)隨外圍高開過千點,午後越升越有,重返17300點以上,收報17325點,全日升1244點,大市成交金額約1826億。另外據報内地公佈優化防控措施及内房支持政策,恒指今早(14日)延續升勢繼續向好,全日高開高走,中段升幅一度擴大至685點,一度重返18000點關口之上,之後升勢略爲放緩。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購26330,行使價19500點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅29.3%,換股比率6500兌1,2023年04月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿7.2倍,引伸波幅33.3%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
内地公佈優化新冠肺炎疫情防控措施,並對入境人員將「7+3」調整為「5+3」,市場或憧憬防控措施放寬或對友邦(1299)保險業務增長有正面影響,友邦上周五(11日)隨大市裂口高開逾5%重返70元大關之上,收報73.05元,全日升8.8%。今早(14日)股價繼續走高,一度升逾5.6%,突破200天綫。回顧自11月以來表現强勢,相比10月底低位反彈近35%。投資者如看好友邦,或可留意友邦購17847,行使價95元,實際槓桿5倍,引伸波幅33.9%,換股比率50兌1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意友邦沽25375,行使價58.88元,實際槓桿7.6倍,引伸波幅40.4%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
阿里(9988)雙11購物節正式拉開帷幕,上周五(11日)股價一改頹勢高開高走,日内升幅一度高達13.4%,升穿20天移動平均綫及70元大關,收報70.8元,全日升12.4%。今早(14日)雖能隨著大市反彈,中段一度考驗70元整數關口支持位。投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅58.5%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽27928,行使價60.13元,實際槓桿3.1倍,引伸波幅64.7%,換股比率50兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
港股11月迎來開門紅,總結上周大市表現,恒指上周一(10月31日)見低位約14600點後,11月開始展開反彈,上周四(11月3日)稍作調整後,上周五(11月4日)重返16000點關及20天綫之上,日内一度升近1200點,一周升約1300點。今早(11月7日)延續升勢進一步向上,日内高位暫時曾觸及16821點。 投資者如繼續看好恒指,或可留意恒指購26330,行使價19500點,實際槓桿8.4倍,引伸波幅30%,換股比率6500兌1,2023年04月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽27260,行使價14000點,實際槓桿6.8倍,引伸波幅35.8%,換股比率5500兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
阿里(9988)上周五(11月4日)顯著反彈,成恒指領漲股首位,日内一度升約21%見日内高位76.2元,雖然其後升幅顯著收窄,但全日仍逾一成。不過今日表現則落後於大市,低開之後一度跌近5.2%,曾見低位66.3元後逐步回升,暫於70元整數關口水平附近爭持。 投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.5倍,引伸波幅58.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽26680,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿1.9倍,引伸波幅62.4%,換股比率50兌1,2023年09月28日到期。
而另一隻科網股騰訊(0700),其股價10月下旬連續多日於約200元水平獲承接,上周走勢轉好,MACD指標亦現黃金交叉,上周五(11月4日)重返20天綫之上,為9月上旬以來首次。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購26676,行使價298.2元,實際槓桿6.2倍,引伸波幅46%,換股比率100兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽27071,行使價180.88元,實際槓桿2.7倍,引伸波幅48.7%,換股比率100兌1,2023年12月28日到期。
市場對聯儲局加息預期下降,美國三大指數反彈。今日(24日)亞太區股市亦普遍造好,但恒指卻裂口急挫,暫低見15142點,最多跌1068點(約6.6%),為2009見4月底以來的低位。 恒指波幅指數(VHSI)一度飆升至43水平,對上一次此現象出現於今年3月15日,當日恒指中段急跌約6.6%後,次日連彈2日,累計升幅超過16%。投資者如想趁低搏恒指反彈,或可留意恒指購26065,行使價17000點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅31.4%,換股比率7800兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如繼續看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿4.9倍,引伸波幅33.7%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
科網股領跌拖累大市向下,美團(3690)今日(24日)曾跌近一成半,跌穿4月低位約130元位置,股價逼近120元整數關口水平,距離3月份底部103.5元還有約16%的距離,表現相對ATM中其他2隻科網股更為硬净。值得留意的是,截至上周五(21日),美團連續8日錄得北水净流入。投資者如繼續看好美團又想趁低搏反彈,或可留意美團購27016,行使價160.1元,實際槓桿3.9倍,引伸波幅62.1%,換股比率100兌1,2023年05月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽26791,行使價110元,實際槓桿2.7倍,引伸波幅69.6%,換股比率50兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
至於阿里(9988),今早(24日)同樣大陰燭下挫,日内暫低見61.35元,最多暫跌近12%,股價再創港交所上市以來新低,但今日成交顯著回升,半日成交額已超過60億。 投資者如繼續看好阿里,或可候低留意阿里購25836,行使價80.05元,實際槓桿3.7倍,引伸波幅57.8%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽25246,行使價50.45元,實際槓桿3倍,引伸波幅69%,換股比率10兌1,2023年3月30日到期。
恒指至今現8連陰走勢,雖然上周五(14日)小幅反彈198點,終止6連跌,但今早(17日)隨外圍下挫,一度回吐上周五所有升幅,進一步逼近月綫圖2011年10月份低位16170點水平,日内最多曾跌約278點,暫見16300點低位後見反彈,但以今個月5日頂部計起,已跌近1700點或逾9%。 投資者如看好恒指並想趁低搏反彈,或可留意恒指購24743,行使價18500點,實際槓桿8.1倍,引伸波幅29.6%,換股比率9500兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡或想以指數淡倉對冲手上正股持倉的下行風險,或可留意恒指沽26066,行使價16100點,實際槓桿5.1倍,引伸波幅33.5%,換股比率6100兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
騰訊(0700)走勢連日疲弱,今早最低曾見240.8元,除息及企業行動調整後股價下試2018年10月低位。不過另一方面,騰訊截至上周五(14日)已連續39日回購其公司股份,而港股通南向資金亦連續29日净流入騰訊。至於輪場資金方面,根據CitiFirst網站輪證樂觀、悲觀情緒資金流數據,上周(10日至14日)五日合計,騰訊樂觀資金流有1.12億,悲觀資金流有5350萬,樂悲情緒資金比例接近7:3。 投資者如想候低吸納騰訊,或可留意騰訊購25248,行使價310.2元,實際槓桿7.1倍,引伸波幅40.6%,換股比率100兌1,2023年02月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽26571,行使價223.5元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅45%,換股比率100兌1,2023年06月29日到期。
阿里巴巴(9988)連跌6日後上周五(14日)隨大市反彈0.7%後,今早表現繼續偏軟,日内一度跌逾3%,跌穿今年3月15日低位71元位置,再次刷新歷史新低,最低暫見70.9元,午後則能企穩反彈,跌幅暫時收窄至不足1%,重返72元之上。投資者如對阿里後市看好,或可考慮分注候低吸納阿里購26198,行使價88.93元,實際槓桿5.3倍,引伸波幅54.9%,換股比率50兌1,2023年2月27日到期;如繼續看淡,則可留意阿里沽25246,行使價50.45元,實際槓桿3.5倍,引伸波幅66.1%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
重陽假期後港股隨外圍顯著反彈,恒指周三(5日)裂口高開逾700點收復10天綫後繼續高走,收市站於18000點大關之上,收報18087點,全日升1008點,14天相對强弱指數亦由超賣區邊緣約22水平急升至43左右,周三大市成交金額攀升至1055億。急升過後,恒指今早(6日)則以窄幅整固爲主,於18000點大關上下拉鋸。 投資者如看好恒指,或可趁低留意恒指購23521,行使價20200點,實際槓桿10.9倍,引伸波幅25.1%,換股比率7000兌1,2023年02月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽16034,行使價16000點,實際槓桿13.6倍(暫為市場上十大成交恒指call之中最高實際槓桿),引伸波幅34.4%,換股比率6000兌1,2022年11月29日到期。
阿里(9988)周三(5日)急升領漲大市,裂口高開5.6%後進一步向上,日内最多升近9%,股價收復20天綫,收報84.2元,全日升8.4%。根據CitiFirst網站過去5日輪證樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流資料,9月28日至10月5日合計,阿里樂觀資金流合計約5410萬,悲觀資金流則有約7920萬,比例大概在4:6。 投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購22474,行使價90.9元,實際槓桿5.9倍,引伸波幅55.1%,換股比率100兌1,2022年12月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽22990,行使價74.88元,實際槓桿3.2倍,引伸波幅57%,換股比率50兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
有外電報導指出,滙豐(0005)正評估有關潛在出售旗下加拿大業務計劃,以提高股東回報。另外,早前英國當局宣佈撤回取消45%最高所得稅稅率提議,英鎊匯價有所反彈。滙豐在港股價周三(6日)亦隨大市反彈,全日升5.7%,但未能突破10天綫約42.8元水平,今早(5日)暫小幅回吐約1%,繼續在下移中的10天綫位置爭持。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購25166,行使價53.58元,實際槓桿13.2倍,引伸波幅31.2%,換股比率10兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽25677,行使價36.5元,實際槓桿5.4倍,引伸波幅38%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
外圍宏觀經濟環境及氣氛欠佳,加息陰霾揮之不散,投資者仍在觀望美聯儲局本周議息結果,上周五(16日)恒指跌破18800點關鍵水平,創下超過5個月低位,今早(19日)輕微低開後進一步走低,最低暫見18528點,跌逾200點,下方3月份低位約18200位置或為市場下一關注水平。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購16037,行使價20400點,實際槓桿16.3倍,引伸波幅25.2%,換股比率9000兌1,2022年11月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽15096,行使價18000點,實際槓桿9.8倍,引伸波幅27.5%,換股比率8000兌1,2022年12月29日到期。
港交所(0388)股價7月尾始沿下降軌下行,上周五(16日)失守300元心理大關,見2020年年中以來新低。今早(19日)繼續沿跌勢向下尋底,暫最多跌2.2%低見289元。而查閲CitiFirst網站輪證情緒資金流數據, 9月9日至16日樂觀/悲觀資金流比例為62:38,樂觀及悲觀窩輪資金流分別有約3810萬及2320萬。 投資者如想趁低搏反彈,或可留意港交購24936,行使價347.3元,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅32.3%,換股比率100兌1,2023年03月01日到期;相反,如想順勢看淡,或可留意港交沽17199,行使價268.68元,實際槓桿15.9倍,引伸波幅32.8%,換股比率100兌1,2022年10月28日到期。
據報,美國人員今個星期開始檢查首批包括阿里(9988)在内的美國上市中概股之審計底稿,整個過程或需8至10周。價格走勢方面,阿里上周五(16日)隨大市下跌,收報86.8元,值得留意的是,4月至5月期間,阿里股價曾多次於80元水平附近獲支持並見小幅反彈,今早(19日)曾一度跌超過3%至83.85元,進一步逼近80元大關。投資者如看好阿里後市走勢,或可趁低留意阿里購17506,行使價95元,實際槓桿5.7倍,引伸波幅58.8%,換股比率100兌1,2022年11月29日到期;相反,如看淡,則可留意阿里沽22990,行使價74.88元,實際槓桿3.1倍,引伸波幅55.9%,換股比率50兌1,2023年03月30日到期。