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科網股齊跌,中移動逆市破頂,留意騰訊購19532/中移購17869
美聯儲如市場預期維持利率不變,不過暗示或再加息一次,隔夜美股三大指數下挫,港股今早輕微低開後,跌幅亦擴大,恒指逐步逼近今年年内低位17573點,暫於17650點附近爭持,截至上日,牛證重貨物區仍然位於17500-17599點水平,熊證則較為分散,並陸續見資金獲利離場,轉身部署反彈。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛65233,收回價17250點,槓桿比率29.4 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊54435,收回價18200點,槓桿比率32.1 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年09月29日到期。
科網股齊跌繼續弱勢,其中騰訊(0700)跌破今年低位逼近300元關口,騰訊認購證連續多日獲净流入,今天亦有資金今天順勢做淡。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購19532,行使價350.18元,實際槓桿12.3 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月22日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽17585,行使價273.6元,實際槓桿11.9 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月05日到期。
中移動(0941)公佈,8月5G上客量按月加快至684.4萬戶,股價先前突破橫行區間頂部,今天進一步逆市造好,相關認購證亦獲資金青睞。 投資者如看好中移,或可留意中移購17869,行使價74.93元,實際槓桿12.1 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年12月20日到期;如看淡,或可留意中移沽20003,行使價56.83元,實際槓桿9.3 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2024年06月25日到期。
港股周四再度考驗18000點關口的支持力,不過恒指周四止步6連跌,收報18047點,全日升38點,大市成交金額約816億,本周已連續4日於萬八點關口附近窄幅整固,且收市均能企穩其上。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購17721,行使價19800點,實際槓桿13.9 倍,換股比率7000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽17799,行使價17400點,實際槓桿10.6 倍,換股比率7200 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
內地電動車遭歐盟反補貼調查,花旗指出內地電池供應商的產能擴張及資本支出周期可能會放緩,但總體並無太大下行風險,比亞迪(1211)上日(14日)失守10天綫約248元水平,日内一度跌3.8%,最低曾見238.4元,逼近20天綫水平,收報244.8元,全日跌1.2%。 投資者如看好比迪,或可留意比迪牛53589,收回價229.2元,槓桿比率10.4倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年03月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意比迪熊51830,收回價271.7元,槓桿比率8.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年06月03日到期。
小米(1810)據報11月初發佈小米14,定位對標蘋果iPhone15 Pro,股價自9月5日跌穿20天移動平均綫後持續受制於該水平,上日(14日)高開高走收陽燭,一舉收復10天及20天綫失地,收報12.24元,全日升2.7%。 投資者如看好小米,或可留意小米購17200,行使價13.82元,實際槓桿9.6 倍,換股比率5 兌 1,2023年11月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意小米沽18981,行使價9.99元,實際槓桿5.2 倍,換股比率5 兌 1,2024年03月22日到期。
港股周一(11日)早段低開之後一度跌穿17900點關口,隨著中國央行午間披露全國外匯市場自律機制專題會議在北京召開,並稱堅決杜絕投機炒作,人民幣匯價午後急升提振中港股市,指數午後跌幅收窄至105點,報18096點收市,大市成交金額約1245億。今早(12日),恒指低開之後逐步收復跌幅,截至中午暫可轉跌為升。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購17510,行使價20300點,實際槓桿13.9 倍,換股比率6500 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽17799,行使價17400點,實際槓桿10.3 倍,換股比率7200 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
阿里巴巴(9988)高層換班,原董事會主席兼CEO張勇原訂將轉為專心領導阿里雲,但最新卻宣布辭任阿里雲CEO令市場驚訝,阿里周一裂口低開收跌3%,今早亦繼續偏軟,截至中午跌1.7%,報86.55元,暫時於250天綫約87元位置附近爭持。另外,據報螞蟻萬里匯首八個月跨境支付用戶於1688採購額達220億人民幣,增逾50%。投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購18649,行使價102.2元,實際槓桿7倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2024年01月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽18064,行使價81.95元,實際槓桿7.2 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年11月29日到期。
港交所(0388)股價上周連日於100天綫附近整固,周一則隨大市場回吐,一度急跌4.3%,見294元低位,收市前跌幅顯著收窄,險守300元關口,收報300.2元,全日跌2.3%。 而今早隨大市走低之後强勢反彈,中段轉跌為升,20天綫暫時失而復得。投資者如看好港交,或可留意港交購17137,行使價360.2元,實際槓桿11.1 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意港交沽18711,行使價277元,實際槓桿8.3 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2024年01月24日到期。
港股周一(4日)顯著造好升穿20天綫,日内高位止於約18900點或50天綫位置,上月11至14日裂口頂部則位於19049點,仍有一定距離,截至上日,恒指牛熊街貨比例為56.7:43.3,牛證街貨集中在18200至18500點位置,熊證重貨區則位於19000至19100點位置。恒指今早(5日)暫回吐逾200點至約18600點水平。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛53122,收回價18200點,槓桿比率33.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊51831,收回價19100點,槓桿比率33.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年08月28日到期。
財政司司長陳茂波先前於網志表示調低股票印花稅並不足以結構性、長期地刺激股市交投,不過上日再解釋無排除減印花稅選項,稱應以組合拳增港股競爭力,港交所(388)連日於250天綫約310元附近波動。 投資者如看好港交,或可留意港交購17137,行使價360.2元,實際槓桿10.3 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月27日到期;如看淡,或可留意港交沽18711,行使價277元,實際槓桿8.8 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2024年01月24日到期。
上日内房、内險、内銀三大板塊向好,中國平安(2318)上試50元或250天綫位置,不過今早則暫要回吐逾2.5%至48.75元附近。 投資者如看好平保,或可留意平保購19158,行使價59.93元,實際槓桿11.8 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年11月23日到期;如看淡,或可留意平保沽29266,行使價45.95元,實際槓桿6.1 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
港股近日低位反彈過千點,逼近8月13日至14日留下的下跌裂口底部,約18793點位置後升幅放緩。牛熊證資金上日(8月30日)於恒指部署好淡分化:好倉追貨積極,牛證於最貼價的18200-18300點收回水平加倉超過900張對冲期指張數,成爲最新的牛證重貨區,累積接近1200張對冲期指張數的街貨。而熊證重貨區則落於19000-19100點水平,累積1133張對冲期指張數的街貨。牛熊街貨比例為57.3:42.7。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛53119,收回價18000點,槓桿比率33.7 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊51894,收回價18900點,槓桿比率32.5 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年08月28日到期。
騰訊(0700)績後重啓股份回購,自8月18日開始連續9日回購公司股份,支持股價企穩。上日(8月30日)雖然見輪場好淡倉資金流出,但牛證街貨及認購證街貨仍佔多數。騰訊股價現時仍處於6月初以來的橫行區間約320-360元底部位置,本周亦已於20天移動平均綫(330元)附近爭持4日。投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊牛62899,收回價299元,槓桿比率10 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2023年11月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊熊51381,收回價361.2元,槓桿比率9.3 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年04月03日到期。
內地證券交易印花稅實施減半徵收,短期對市場情緒有明顯提振作用,市場繼續關注政策組合拳的長期積極影響的同時,亦繼續跟進港府成立的促進股票市場流動性研究小組的最新動向。港交所(0388)交投連續三日在30億元附近徘徊,股價周三一度逼近320元水平,走勢上跑贏大市,不過今早則暫時要跟隨大市回吐近2%。投資者如看好港交,或可留意港交購18230,行使價326.2元,實際槓桿9.2 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月20日到期;如看淡,或可留意港交沽18711,行使價277元,實際槓桿8 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2024年01月24日到期。
内房憂慮持續發酵,周一(21日)港股跌勢未止,恒指裂口低開後進一步向下,續創今年新低。截至周一,恒指牛熊街貨比例約6:4,牛證重貨區位於目前最貼價的17500至17599點水平,累積相關對冲期指合約張數1125張,熊證街貨則較多集中於18300至18699點水平不等。
今早(22日),恒指開市後一度抽高至17800點水平,其後靠穩。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛65233,收回價17250點,槓桿比率31.4 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊52326,收回價18400點,槓桿比率21.7 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年07月30日到期。
美團(3690)周四(24日)公佈業績,股價上周失130元位置,向下完全回補7月24至25日的上升裂口後,一連兩日在128元附近爭持。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛66514,收回價113元,槓桿比率6.1 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年07月02日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊51829,收回價147.3元,槓桿比率5.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年06月03日到期。
騰訊(700)近期相較大市跌幅仍然較少,不過周一股價輕微跌破近兩月底部約320元水平,收報318元,全日跌2.2%,亦失守250天綫,今早則繼續於該水平附近爭持。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購17609,行使價380.06元,實際槓桿13.5 倍,換股比率約95 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽17800,行使價298.6元,實際槓桿8.5 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年11月22日到期。
本周有多隻重點股份公佈業績,周三(16日)有騰訊(0700)、港交所(0388)、京東(9618)等,周四(17日)則有銀河娛樂(0027)、中海油(0883)等,投資者可瀏覽CitiFirst®業績公佈日曆專頁,一表看清所有股份相關業績公佈日期。
大市方面,恒指上周自高位顯著回吐之後,走勢一度有所喘定,而近日市場對内房板塊憂慮進一步加劇,令大市連日受壓,恒指上周連日於250天綫遇上阻力,今天(14日)裂口低開逾370點,失守19000點水平,並下試7月24日低位約18600點附近位置。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購17510,行使價20300點,實際槓桿11.9 倍,換股比率6500 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽17799,行使價17400點,實際槓桿9.3 倍,換股比率7200 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期。
騰訊(0700)為本周公佈業績股份中的市場焦點之一,將於周三公佈第二季度業績,股價今早下試330元位置,曾低見327.8元,其後迅速獲得承接,由陰轉陽,暫報約333元,跌幅少於大市,亦跑贏阿里(9988)、美團(3690)等大型科網股。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊牛69583,收回價308.5元,槓桿比率10.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年01月02日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊熊51381,收回價361.2元,槓桿比率11.2 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年04月03日到期。
上周港股升勢凌厲,本周則有所放緩,大市連續兩日先升後回落,恒指一連兩日上試20300點水平未果,高位造出兩支陰燭,周二(1日)高開低走,回補上周五至本周一(7月28至31日)的上升裂口。今早延續跌勢進一步偏軟回試100天綫,暫時於19600點附近喘定。截至上日,恒指牛熊街貨比例介乎50:50,今早資金則集中流入牛證,收回價介乎19200至19500。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛50092,收回價19200點,槓桿比率34 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年08月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊69436,收回價20400點,槓桿比率24.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年04月29日到期。
美團(3690)上周五突破橫行區間向上,不過本周連續兩日受制於150元或250天綫位置,今早進一步回落,回補上周五至周一的上升裂口,並回試前區間頂部約140元水平。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛50291,收回價124.6元,槓桿比率6.7 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年07月03日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊53641,收回價155元,槓桿比率7.6 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年02月01日到期。
内險及内地金融板塊本周見回吐,中國平安(2318)周一試探57元水平後回軟,至今連現三支陰燭,今早暫回落至約54元附近,跌1.8%。 投資者如看好平保,或可留意平保牛66360,收回價48.2元,槓桿比率7.9 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意平保熊68351,收回價58.8元,槓桿比率9.7 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年12月01日到期。
恒指將於今天(12日)稍後公佈季檢結果。早段恒指高開逾百點後走勢轉弱回落,連續第三日試探250天綫。上月中下旬起,恒指始終圍繞約19500至20300點水平區間上落,整體走勢上有待突破。截至上日(11日),恒指牛熊街貨比例約58:42,牛熊證重貨區分別位於19500-19599及20300-20399點位置。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛58112,收回價19250點,槓桿比率39.3 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊61446,收回價20500點,槓桿比率19.4 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年04月29日到期。
“中特估”概念股近日升勢放緩,内銀板塊今天受壓,其中工行(1398)回落至前橫行區間頂部約4.35元附近,考驗該位置承接力。建行(939)則回落至約5.3元位置,兩股暫皆跌逾2%,股價位於5月4日第一支大陽燭頂部附近。 投資者如看好工行,或可留意工行購18791,行使價5.2元,實際槓桿12.1 倍,換股比率1 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看好建行,或可留意建行購15468,行使價5.71元,實際槓桿12.9 倍,換股比率1 兌 1,2023年11月29日到期。
京東(9618)上日公佈第一季業績,表現勝過市場預期。股價今早裂口高開逾8%反彈,暫升約7%。京東股價近日見港股市場上市以來低位,並持續於約135元附近窄幅上落。京東引伸波幅亦在業績公佈後回落。 投資者如看好京東,或可留意京東購15466,行使價188.98元,實際槓桿5 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年11月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意京東沽27013,行使價140元,實際槓桿3.4 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。
美聯儲議息前夕,同時適逢内地五一黃金周長假,港股交投淡靜,上日(2日)大市成交金額約755億,為去年12月21日以來最低。走勢方面,恒指仍未擺脫上落爭持的局面,近期上下波幅區間介乎約19500至20300點之間,今早(3日)隨外圍低開近250點失守250天綫。截至上日,恒指牛證重貨區位於19500至19599點,熊證重貨區則位於20300至20399點,整體恒指牛熊街貨比例約54:46。議息前夕及成交疏落之下,大市上落波幅或傾向波動,投資者或可考慮部署較遠收回距離的牛熊證,控制收回風險, 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛58112,收回價19250點,槓桿比率42.6 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年11月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊61446,收回價20500點,槓桿比率18.8 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2024年04月29日到期。
滙豐(0005)首季度業績表現勝市場預期,稅前利潤同比增長逾200%,並宣布派發首季股息及最多20億美元股份回購計劃。股價上日午後抽升突破上月高位,重返2月至3月初水平,今早走勢則以整固爲主。上日輪場滙豐好倉資金流入約500萬元,淡倉流入約300萬元。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購12404,行使價65.88元,實際槓桿13.2 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽12406,行使價50元,實際槓桿12.8 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2023年07月28日到期。
科網股走勢偏軟,阿里(9988)今早下試80元水平,曾跌逾3%,日内低位暫見79.7元,逼近3月低位約78元。根據CitiFirst®樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流專頁輪證數據,截至上日,阿里5天累計樂觀/悲觀資金比例約75:25,合計樂觀資金流逾1億。 投資者如看好阿里,或可留意阿里購23990,行使價95元,實際槓桿6.6 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年09月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意阿里沽26680,行使價62.88元,實際槓桿10.3 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2023年09月28日到期。